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The 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are officially underway, and we’ll be here every day offering daily predictions and futures for the sport’s third Grand Slam event of the season.
We’ve scored the Wimbledon odds and have found terrific betting opportunities throughout the fortnight.
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Read on for our Wimbledon predictions and free tennis picks for Wednesday, July 1.
💰 Top Wimbledon predictions for Wednesday, July 1
Best predictions for Wednesday, July 1, made by Luc LeBlanc
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Fabian Marozsan: Marozsan moneyline (+203)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina finally lifted an ATP trophy in Mallorca last week.
He faces a sneaky strong R2 opponent in Fabian Marozsan, whom he beat in the Mallorca semifinal in a three-set nail-biter. Notably, both produced seven break points.
Both earned a straight-sets victory in the opening round, with Marozsan blasting an astounding 59 winners without breaking serve (and six aces for good measure).
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Contrarily, Davidovich Fokina’s service games were far messier, being broken three times and held without an ace. While he leads the head-to-head 2-0, the large price gap here does not reflect what should be a close match, just as their last encounter was.
There’s tons of value in the Hungarian as the underdog here.
Daria Kasatkina vs. Janice Tjen: Kasatkina moneyline (-113)
Although Daria Kasatkina‘s ranking has tanked since ending her 2025 season in October and struggling with form early this season, she faces a favorable matchup in Round 2.
Her opponent, Janice Tjen, is one of the poorest returners on the WTA Tour. In the last year, she’s won just 36.6% of return points in play and boasts an abhorrent 22.3% break rate — the latter being the worst on Tour by a mile.
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Meanwhile, Daria’s 60.7% career win rate on grass is her best among all surfaces. The former World No. 8 won a grass title in Eastbourne in 2024 and will look to advance to a fourth consecutive third round at Wimbledon.
This is a near-even pricing that shouldn’t be.
📊 Wimbledon odds: Favorites & full field
The 2026 Championships at Wimbledon begin Monday, June 29, and end with the July 12 Gentlemen’s Singles final.
Men’s Wimbledon odds
Player | |
|---|---|
Jannik Sinner | -144 |
Novak Djokovic | +525 |
Alexander Zverev | +1329 |
Taylor Fritz | +1329 |
Daniil Medvedev | +3233 |
Felix Auger-Aliassime | +4900 |
Tommy Paul | +4900 |
Frances Tiafoe | +4900 |
Joao Fonseca | +4900 |
Alex de Minaur | +4900 |
Women’s Wimbledon odds
Player | |
|---|---|
Aryna Sabalenka | +285 |
Elena Rybakina | +614 |
Mirra Andreeva | +809 |
Amanda Anisimova | +900 |
Jessica Pegula | +1011 |
Iga Swiatek | +1011 |
Coco Gauff | +1329 |
Madison Keys | +1567 |
Iva Jovic | +2400 |
Naomi Osaka | +2400 |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0-100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring.
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🏆 Wimbledon outright picks card
Phil Naessens’ outright picks
Outright: Ben Shelton (+1900): Ben Shelton arrives at Wimbledon as arguably the hottest player on grass in 2026. The American won Stuttgart, reached the Halle QF, and carries a 6-1 grass record this season with a DR of 1.06. His serve is a nuclear weapon on this surface, posting a 13.5% ace rate and an extraordinary 93.6% hold percentage. Ranked sixth in my Crush & Rush News Power Rankings with a favorable draw, 20/1 is exceptional value for a genuine contender.
Outright: Aryna Sabalenka (+317): Aryna Sabalenka arrives as the undisputed World No. 1, Elo-ranked first with a rating of 2220, and holding a 7-2 grass record over the last 52 weeks with a DR of 1.13. Her most compelling stat is a perfect 5-0 tiebreak record on grass over that span, which is absolutely critical at a slam. With a favorable half of the draw, Anisimova struggling, and Rybakina looking shaky at just 3-3 on grass with an 0-2 tiebreak record, +317 on the tournament favorite represents outstanding value.
Luc LeBlanc’s outright picks
Outright: Taylor Fritz (+1329): Outside of Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic, it may be Fritz with the most impressive grass court pedigree, with half of the 28-year-old’s 10 ATP titles coming on grass despite the short season. He’s made the final of both grass tournaments he’s played in 2026 and has reached QFs or better in three of the last four Wimbledons — his 12 wins on grass in the last year pace the Tour. With Sinner’s well-documented heat struggles and Djokovic staring down Father Time, this may be the best chance at a Slam for the 2024 US Open finalist.
Outright: Elena Rybakina (+809): The biggest server on the WTA Tour and 2022 Wimbledon champ has her sights set on another career milestone that a second title at SW19 would guarantee — World No. 1. She’s made QFs or better in three of the last four years and is 23-5 all-time at the event. She’s the only player with an ace percentage above 10%, and her 555 aces in the last year are 180 more than the next closest and nearly double that of third place. Her monstrous serve was made for the grass.
🎾 Wimbledon 2026: Key takeaways
Weather: Unseasonably hot to begin the fortnight, and even warmer temperatures are expected through the final weekend.
Storyline: Serena Williams returns to the tour after a four-year absence. She’s a seven-time Wimbledon champion and seeks her 24th Grand Slam title. She opens her 2026 campaign against unseeded Australian Maya Joint.
🎾 Surface breakdown: Slippery when wet!
Grass is the fastest surface in tennis and often produces results that differ dramatically from the rest of the season. The low, skidding bounce rewards players with big serves like Jannik Sinner’s, aggressive first-strike tennis like Taylor Fritz’s, and the ability to finish points quickly at the net like Novak Djokovic’s.
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Conversely, heavy topspin baseliners like Casper Ruud and defensive specialists like Francisco Cerundolo often have less time to set up their shots, making Wimbledon one of the most unpredictable Grand Slams.
Experience also plays a significant role on grass because the surface rewards precise movement and positioning. Players like Barbora Krejicova, who have consistently performed well at Wimbledon or other grass-court events, typically enjoy an advantage over opponents with stronger overall rankings but limited success on the surface.
For bettors and fans alike, recent form should always be viewed through the lens of surface specialization. Strong clay-court or hard-court results don’t always translate to grass, where a dominant serve, efficient crush-and-rush tennis, and comfort on the slick footing often separate champions from the rest of the field.
Players to watch
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Player profiles to target
Big servers: With London experiencing a heat wave, the serve is the most important weapon in a player’s arsenal.
Return of serve: The return of serve is the second-most important shot on grass, and a 45% or better win rate is ideal.
📢 How will Serena Williams do in her Wimbledon return?
Serena Williams couldn’t have asked for a much better opening-round draw.
There are obvious questions about how the 44-year-old will handle her first singles match in nearly four years. Kalshi has Maya Joint opening as a 58% favorite, despite having lost 13 of her last 14 matches after a promising start to the season.
That’s why the markets have Serena Williams Wimbledon odds for this match so high, and if she smokes Joint, she’ll have to fend off a swarm of gifted players like Iga Swiatek, Marta Kostyuk, Jasmine Paolini, and Alexandra Eala just to get out of her quarter, and that is highly unlikely.
🏥 Why is Carlos Alcaraz not participating in Wimbledon?
Carlos Alcaraz will not defend his Wimbledon title after withdrawing because of a lingering right wrist injury suffered during the clay-court season. The injury also forced him to miss the Madrid Open, the Italian Open, the French Open, and the entire grass-court swing as he continues his recovery.
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Rather than risk aggravating the problem, the two-time Wimbledon champion opted to prioritize his long-term health to return for the North American hard-court season and defend his US Open crown.
📈 Odds movement & market notes
The 2026 Wimbledon futures market changed dramatically after Carlos Alcaraz withdrew with a wrist injury, leaving Jannik Sinner as the overwhelming championship favorite.
What was expected to be another Sinner-Alcaraz showdown quickly became Sinner’s tournament to lose, with the markets shortening his odds to between -175 and -200. Novak Djokovic remains the second choice at around +500, while French Open champion Alexander Zverev follows in the +800 to +1100 range.
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The women’s market has been more competitive.
Aryna Sabalenka enters Wimbledon as the consensus favorite at approximately +300 to +340, with former champion Elena Rybakina close behind between +600 and +800. French Open winner Mirra Andreeva has emerged as a leading contender at around +1000, while defending Wimbledon champion Iga Swiatek sits in the +700 to +800 range.
Serena Williams’ return also sparked significant betting interest, with the seven-time Wimbledon champion opening as a +3200 long shot despite her legendary grass-court résumé.
📺 How to watch Wimbledon 2026
How to watch:
Main television broadcast: ESPN
Court hopping coverage: ESPN Unlimited
Streaming: ESPN Unlimited
❓ Wimbledon 2026 FAQ
Who are the 2026 Wimbledon favorites?
World No. 1 Jannik Sinner is the overwhelming favorite to win his second consecutive Wimbledon crown, while No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka is a 3/1 favorite to hoist her first Wimbledon title.
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When is Wimbledon 2026?
The Championships at Wimbledon begin Monday, June 29, and end on Sunday, July 12.
Where will Wimbledon 2026 be played?
The All England Lawn and Tennis Club, SW19, London, England.
Are Wimbledon odds the same across all sportsbooks?
No, the Wimbledon odds are not the same across all sportsbooks. That’s why it’s important to have as many betting options as possible.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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