On Monday, Donald Trump declared a diplomatic breakthrough between Ukraine and Russia, stating that both sides had agreed to stop targeting each other’s energy infrastructure. This announcement came amid signs from both countries indicating some willingness to continue US-brokered negotiations, which have largely stalled during Trump’s current term.

Trump’s claim, however, received a guarded reaction from Ukraine and no immediate comment from Russia. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy acknowledged recommending an agreement to protect critical infrastructure, particularly as winter approaches. He expressed skepticism about Russia’s commitment to abide by such an accord without guarantees from international partners.

Trump’s Declaration on Energy Attacks

Trump or his team posted on Truth Social that “Ukraine has agreed not to hit Russian Energy targets. Russia has agreed to do, likewise!” He linked global diesel prices primarily to the Russia-Ukraine conflict rather than other factors like Iran, seemingly aiming to downplay economic pressures due to rising fuel costs in the US.

Mixed Reactions and Conditions from Ukraine

Ukraine’s official presidency declined to comment immediately, but President Zelenskyy issued a statement emphasizing the need to protect food, energy, and other essential infrastructure. He said Ukraine proposed that international partners secure a binding agreement with Russia to halt destructive strikes on such facilities.

Still, Zelenskyy cautioned that Kyiv remains unconvinced of Russia’s willingness to respect any agreement. He stipulated that Ukraine would halt its own attacks only if partners can guarantee Russia refrains from hitting energy systems and supply routes. Zelenskyy also warned against using a potential deal merely to ease Russian fuel prices ahead of imminent elections.

Context of Energy Strikes and Military Actions

Ukraine has recently increased long-range drone strikes targeting Russian refineries and petroleum infrastructure, causing localized shortages and price increases even in Russia. Kyiv has also targeted Russian online retailer Wildberries, accusing it of assisting the military.

Meanwhile, US military commitments in the Gulf have diminished Ukraine’s defenses against Russian ballistic missiles due to depleted Patriot missile supplies. In past winters, Russia frequently attacked Ukraine’s energy infrastructure to worsen conditions during cold spells. Last year, a brief pause in strikes on Kyiv was announced by Trump but lasted only days.