The Denver Nuggets (42-27) visit the Memphis Grizzlies (23-44) on Wednesday. Tip-off from FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee, is at 8:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze NBA odds around the Nuggets vs. Grizzlies odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Nuggets lead 2-0

The Nuggets have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming off a 124-96 win over the visiting Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday as 15.5-point favorites. The Under (235.5) cashed as the Nuggets led wire-to-wire. They held the Sixers to 39% shooting from the field. They are currently the No. 5 seed in the Western Conference, 1 1/2 games behind the No. 3 Los Angeles Lakers.

The Grizzlies have lost 8 games in a row. They lost 132-107 Monday on the road to the Chicago Bulls as 6.5-point underdogs with the Under (243.5) cashing. F Cedric Coward led them with 17 points, but was a minus-21 when he was on the court. The Grizzlies are in 11th place in the conference, 9 games behind the Portland Trail Blazers for the final play-in spot.

In their last meeting on Feb. 11 in Denver, the Grizzlies covered the 14.5-point spread as underdogs in a 122-116 Nuggets win as the Under (239.5) cashed. Denver won the first meeting 125-124 in overtime in Philadelphia Jan. 5.

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Nuggets at Grizzlies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:32 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -800 (bet $800 to win $100) | Grizzlies +550 (bet $100 to win $550)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -12.5 (-115) | Grizzlies +12.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 244.5 (O: -110 | U: -105)

Nuggets at Grizzlies key injuries

Nuggets

(Not yet submitted — below was for Tuesday’s game)

  • Peyton Watson (hamstring) out

Grizzlies

  • F Santi Aldama (knee) out for season
  • G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (finger) out for season
  • F Brandon Clarke (calf) out
  • C Zach Edey (ankle) out for season
  • G Jahmai Mashack (ankle) questionable
  • G Ja Morant (elbow) out
  • G Scotty Pippen Jr. (toe) out for season

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Nuggets at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 125, Grizzlies 111

The Nuggets are healthy, an they’re 23-14 in road games. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games against Memphis.

The Grizzlies have lost 8 games in a row and are only 11-20 at home. Opponents are scoring 125.6 points per game during their losing streak.

Don’t expect an upset in this game, and the -800 odds for Denver to win is not the value you want for a single bet. You get better value betting either team to cover the spread.

PASS.

The Nuggets are 9-6 ATS playing the secondgame of a back-to-back, per Teamrankings.com, but are only 12-12 ATS as road favorites.

However, the Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games, all losses, and have lost by 16 or more in their last 2 games. They are 6-11 ATS as home underdogs.

The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

BET NUGGETS -12.5 (-115).

The Nuggets have averaged 128.0 PPG over their last 5. The Grizzlies have allowed 125.6 per game in their losing streak. If the Nuggets stay in line with that, with a cover, the total will not reach 245.

BET UNDER 244.5 (-105).

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