Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday’s Liga MX matchup between Juarez and Puebla, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 55.3% chance of Juarez winning, a 22.1% chance for Puebla, and a 22.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 56.4% chance of going over, with a 56.0% probability that both teams score.

 

Juarez vs. Puebla odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

JuarezPueblaDraw
-140+400+290

Total Goals

Over 2.5Under 2.5
-135+114

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Juarez vs. Puebla picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: Puebla @ +400 via FanDuel
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Puebla to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Juarez vs. Puebla: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final ScoreProbability
JUA 1-1 PUE10.6%
JUA 2-1 PUE9.9%
JUA 1-0 PUE9.8%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.0% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team’s average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Juarez vs. Puebla game-day updates and essential details

Friday’s game between Juarez and Puebla is scheduled to commence at 11:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Juarez vs. Puebla
  • Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Juarez has a 55.3% win probability on Friday, Puebla has a 22.1% win probability, and there is a 22.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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