‘The Old Farmer's Almanac' Just Released Its Fall 2026 Forecast—Here's What It Predicts Where You Live

If you’re already dreaming of crisp sweater weather, you may be in luck—depending on where you live. The Old Farmer’s Almanac has released its annual fall forecast, offering an early look at what to expect across the U.S. this September and October.

The publication, best known for its long-range seasonal weather forecasts, predicts a season of contrasts, with warmer-than-average temperatures across much of the nation’s interior and cooler conditions along the East Coast and Pacific Coast. Rainfall is expected to be below average across much of the country, though several regions could see a wetter-than-usual season.

Here’s a breakdown of what the Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts for fall 2026.

Table of Contents

U.S. fall 2026 weather predictions

2026 Fall Forecast map showing weather patterns across the United States with cool, warm, wet, and dry regions. — Old Farmer’s Almanac

According to the Almanac—which boasts an 80% accuracy rating—much of the Northern Plains, Heartland, and Deep South can expect a warmer-than-average fall, especially during September and October. Meanwhile, cooler temperatures are forecast for much of the eastern U.S. and the Pacific Coast.

As for precipitation, much of the country is expected to be drier than normal. The biggest exceptions include the West Coast, the central and northern Rockies, parts of Texas, southern Florida, and portions of the Northeast, where above-average rainfall is expected.

Regional predictions

Northeast: Cooler and wetter than average, with below-normal temperatures and increased rainfall.
Atlantic Corridor: Cooler and drier conditions, with temperatures about 1 degree below average.
Southeast: Cooler-than-average temperatures paired with below-average rainfall, especially across southern areas.
Florida: Cooler and drier weather statewide, with southern Florida expected to receive slightly above-average rainfall.
Midwest: The Upper Midwest starts with a cool September before warming slightly in October, while the Heartland is expected to see a drier September followed by a wetter October.
Texas and Oklahoma: Northern areas should be slightly cooler and significantly wetter than average, while southern Texas is expected to stay warm with slightly above-average rainfall.
High Plains: Warmer and drier than average throughout the season.
Intermountain West: Northern areas trend cooler while southern areas are warmer, with slightly above-average precipitation overall.
Desert Southwest: A warm September gives way to a slightly cooler October, with below-average rainfall continuing through fall.
Pacific Northwest: One of the wettest forecasts in the country, with cooler temperatures and the potential for several inches of extra rainfall in September.
Pacific Southwest: Near-average temperatures in September followed by a slightly cooler October, with mixed rainfall depending on location.
Alaska: Cooler temperatures across the north, slightly warmer conditions in the south and generally below-average precipitation.
Hawaii: Cooler-than-average temperatures, wetter conditions across the eastern islands and the possibility of a tropical storm in mid-September.